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Condition of ecological processes on the Great Barrier Reef

Condition of ecological processes on the Great Barrier Reef

Key Finding

Since 2019, most ecological processes on the Great Barrier Reef have remained generally stable. Reef building continues to deteriorate due to the impact of ocean acidification on calcification rates. Trends in recruitment are variable, but declines have been observed in some populations, including dugongs, turtles, and some coral species.

Great Barrier Reef Marine Park (GBRMP) boundary map

Information applies statewide, map locations are for reference only.

Overview

The following information is drawn from the Great Barrier Reef Outlook Report 2024 (Outlook Report).

Condition of ecological processes

The condition of the Great Barrier Reef depends on a range of chemical, physical and ecological processes, the health of connected coastal ecosystems, and the impacts of disease and pest outbreaks.

The Outlook Report assesses 31 ecosystem health components across these five areas. It found:

  • around 60% remain in good to very good condition
  • the rest are in poor to very poor condition.

Five of the 31 components have deteriorated (but have not changed grade) since 2019, including four components related to physical processes (sea temperature and sea level), chemical processes (ocean pH), and ecological processes (reef building).

These continued declines in ecosystem condition are largely driven by the ongoing chronic effects of climate change, particularly ocean warming.

Trends

Ecological processes have generally remained stable since 2019, although reef building continues to deteriorate due to ocean acidification. Trends in other processes, including particle feeding, recruitment (the process of adding new individuals to populations)   and predation, vary between different taxa.

Declines in recruitment have been reported in some populations of marine turtles and dugongs, for example. The condition (and trend in condition) of some ecological processes, such as microbial processes and competition, remain poorly understood.

Results

See the links below the tables for the Great Barrier Reef Outlook Report 2024 ’s full assessment information (including components within the criteria) and methods.

Relevant Sustainable Development Goals’ targets

Relevant Global Biodiversity Framework targets

Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Ecological processes:
Since 2019, most ecological processes on the Reef have remained generally stable. Reef building continues to deteriorate due to the impact of ocean acidification on calcification rates. Trends in recruitment are variable, but declines have been observed in some populations, including dugongs, turtles, and some species of coral.

Ecological processes grade and trend

Other aspects of ecosystem health and biodiversity

The Great Barrier Reef Outlook Report 2024 also contains much information on the condition of many other ecosystem health and biodiversity components.

Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Physical processes:
Most physical processes have remained stable or continued to deteriorate since 2019. Further changes to these processes are expected due to the continued influence of climate change and land-based run-off, which have broad implications for the Region.

Physical processes grade and trend
Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Chemical processes:
The chemical processes within the Reef are generally in good condition. However nutrient cycling continues to be affected by land-based run-off. Ocean pH has decreased as a result of climate change.

Chemical processes grade and trend
Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Coastal ecosystems that support the Great Barrier Reef:
An understanding of the condition of most coastal ecosystems remains a significant knowledge gap. The extent of each coastal ecosystem has remained generally stable, but woodlands continue to be affected by clearance, albeit at a slower rate than in 2019.

Coastal ecosystems that support the Great Barrier Reef grade and trend
Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Outbreaks of disease, introduced species and pest species:
Outbreaks of disease are localised and patchy across the Region, but have generally remained stable since 2019. Increased culling effort has reduced the impact of crown‑of‑thorns starfish, although the potential for new outbreaks remains. Other outbreaks, such as Trichodesmium, have increased, but data are limited on a broad scale.

Outbreaks of disease, introduced species and pest species grade and trend
Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Habitats to support species:
Overall, the condition of habitats is poor on a Region-wide scale, as habitat loss, degradation or alteration in a number of areas continues to have significant effects on populations of some dependent species. There is substantial variation in the assessed condition (and trend in condition) of different habitats, as well as in the amount of data available to inform each assessment. Coral reef condition varies between reefs and regions, and between inshore and offshore reefs. Recovery of key reef-building corals, particularly in the northern region, has contributed to an improved trend since 2019, and coral reefs are now assessed to be in poor (borderline good) condition overall. The condition of seagrass meadows has also improved somewhat since 2019, reflecting the recovery from past flooding impacts in some areas and is now considered in good (borderline poor) condition. Other habitats remain in good or very good condition. Although fewer intense disturbances (temperature extremes, cyclones) have affected habitats since 2019 up until the 2023–24 summer, the threats posed by climate change have not reduced, and most habitats remain extremely vulnerable.

Habitats to support species grade and trend
Criteria and component summaries Grade and trend

Populations of species and groups of species:
Overall, the condition of species and groups of species remains poor on a Region-wide scale, mainly due to the impacts from ongoing climate change and localised reductions in water quality, and there is potential for compounding pressures. There is significant variation between different species and species groups and, in many cases, data are limited. Most populations of marine turtles and seabirds within the Region have declined, as have dugongs in the southern area of the Region, while humpback whales continue to show strong recovery. Increases in cover of some fast-growing corals have occurred, although species diversity and other aspects of coral condition likely remain affected. The condition of seagrasses has improved across many northern regions, but remains poor in the south.

Populations of species and groups of species grade and trend